BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 128 Overall: (0-12) Overall Strength = 79.20
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-7) | District: 1B-01 Record: (0-10)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Away L 80.34 28 62 1A 133 ( 3- 9) Tulsa -1.73 * -13.88 -32.27
2 09/07/2024 Home L * 87.71 31 37 1B 118 ( 5- 7) Prairie View A&M 5.64 10.45 -11.64
3 09/12/2024 Away L 66.76 10 87 1A 79 ( 7- 6) South Alabama -15.32 * -27.78 -61.68
4 09/21/2024 Home L * 76.24 0 39 1B 51 ( 4- 8) Weber St -5.83 * -36.84 -33.17
5 09/28/2024 Away L * 104.05 0 19 1B 22 ( 9- 4) SE Missouri St 21.98 * -44.45 -40.98
6 10/05/2024 Away L * * 83.46 17 59 1B 14 ( 7- 5) Stephen F. Austin 1.39 * -43.22 -43.39
7 10/12/2024 Home L * * 79.22 21 42 1B 102 ( 3- 9) TAMU-Commerce -2.85 -11.34 -18.15
8 10/19/2024 Away L * * 96.70 0 20 1B 71 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St 14.63 * -32.76 -34.63
9 10/26/2024 Home L * * 78.93 10 42 1B 63 ( 7- 5) Lamar -3.14 -20.67 -28.86
10 11/09/2024 Away L * * 78.55 0 41 1B 43 ( 7- 5) SE Louisiana -3.53 * -39.46 -37.47
11 11/16/2024 Home L * * 82.01 3 35 1B 54 ( 6- 6) McNeese St -0.06 * -31.07 -31.94
12 11/23/2024 Away L * * 70.93 24 62 1B 83 ( 5- 7) Houston Christian -11.15 -22.51 -26.85
Averages 82.08 12.0 45.4
Best game: 104.05 = 19 point loss to SE Missouri St
Worst game: 66.76 = 77 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev: 10.26